Originally posted by Klown:
I expect them to get Paul, Buck, Miller, Johnson, Angle, Rubio, etc. all into office. They'll be looking pretty good then. However, when they lead to Sarah Palin to the presidential election and defeat in 2012, I expect it to fizzle out. The Republicans will certainly have had enough at that point. I'd expect them to start converting primaries to caucuses to start getting the Tea party out.
Obama is incredibly weak right now, really the only way I see him getting reelected is if Sarah Palin becomes the nominee.
I agree completely.
Originally posted by Fooglmog:
Klown... pretending that you can call a Presidential Election before the mid-terms even take place is ludicrous.
I can see why you may think that, if the Presidential Election was 11 days from no, Obama would have no chance against anyone except Palin. But who would beat him? I can't think of the nominee off the top of my head that would be a shoe in... all the possibilities with national exposure have huge negatives against them too.
Of course, if we were at a Presidential election in 11 days, we would have just gone through a massive campaign. Campaigns are impossible to predict. You just have to look at how Obama got the Democratic nomination to realize that. Certainly, we'd know the Republican candidate by now... but to guarantee that they wouldn't have made a huge mistake which cost them their popularity is a huge assumption. And while I don't know how Obama will do as incumbent, he certainly has proven that he has the potential to campaign well.
Trying to call the election more than 2 years out without having any clue as to who the opposition will be is not realistic. I think it's correct to say that if the rest of his term is similar to what's happened so far... he'll have difficulties. Beyond that, don't even pretend.
-Fooglmog
Guy with no clue.
Palin can't win. She scares the fluff right out of most moderates. And conventional wisdom dictates that you NEED the moderates if you are to win.